Carl Frampton Predicts Tyson Fury Beats Anthony Joshua After Shaky Prenga Win

Frampton Flips His Pick

Carl Frampton isn't afraid to change his mind, and after watching both Tyson Fury and Anthony Joshua fight last weekend, he's landed on a new prediction for their much-discussed showdown. The former two-weight world champion now has Fury as the 60/40 favorite over Joshua — a shift that came directly from what he saw in the ring.

What Actually Happened in Joshua's Fight

Joshua's clash with Kristian Prenga was anything but smooth. AJ was nearly knocked out within the first 20 seconds, then dropped a second time before the round even ended. Somehow, he composed himself and finished Prenga off in the same three minutes — a wild swing from disaster to stoppage. Frampton called it a "very brave performance" but didn't hold back on the concerns it raised, pointing out stiff legs and Joshua's well-documented habit of starting slow, something he said heavyweights simply can't afford to do.

Fury Wasn't Spectacular Either

On the same card, Fury ground his way past Wach without ever looking in real danger, but he also didn't look like peak Gypsy King. Still, according to Frampton, that steadier — if unspectacular — path to victory is enough to tip the scales in Fury's favor heading into a potential 2026 matchup.

Why the Numbers Still Favor a Knockout Scenario

Frampton isn't ruling out a Joshua win by any means. He specifically noted that AJ's power gives him a real chance to land something big and end the fight early, even if the smarter bet leans toward Fury doing enough to win rounds. It's the classic boxing calculus: power versus consistency, and Frampton thinks Fury's more reliable if unglamorous approach edges it.

The Bigger Picture

This matchup has been teased for years, and both fighters' underwhelming recent performances have cooled some of the hype. But for fight fans, that's almost part of the appeal now — two heavyweights with visible flaws heading into a fight that could expose or overcome them. Whether Fury and Joshua's camps can actually agree on a date and venue remains the real obstacle, but if it happens, Frampton's shifting prediction shows just how unpredictable this one could be.

What Comes Next

Expect more analysis and prediction shifts as negotiations continue. Right now, all eyes are on whether these two British heavyweights can finally make the fight fans have wanted for years — and whether either man can shake off the rust before they do.